Our Steelers vs Bills same-game parlay is focusing on alternate spreads and totals, plus rushing props on Najee Harris, James Cook and Josh Allen, totalling combined odds of +146 at DraftKings.
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Steelers vs Bills SGP Picks: Alternate Total Under
Both teams are 11-6 to the Under this season. Buffalo just went Under last week in a 21-14 win over the Dolphins, and are 7-3 to the Under in their past ten games.
Pittsburgh games have been going the opposite direction. They went under the total last week winning 17-10 in Baltimore, but are 4-1 to the Over in their past five games.
This game is expected to be below 20 degrees and to have wind gusts of up to 27 mph. That s not even counting the possibility of more snow. There is a 52% chance of precipitation today in Orchard Park.
That could play havoc on the passing games for both teams. The total had sunk to sunk 33 until the game was moved to Monday and has since risen to 38.5 as Monday s weather is still better than Sunday s. If we add some points in this SGP alternate total market and make it 48.5, that s a number that Steelers games have only gone over once all season. Let s bump up the total and go Under in our .
Steelers vs Bills same game parlay picks: Alternate total under 48.5
Steelers vs Bills SGP Picks: Steelers Alternate Spread
Take out two big losses by 23 and 24 points early in the season and Pittsburgh hasn’t lost by more than 17 points since October 1.
The Bills, despite winning five straight, only have one big win in that time over the Cowboys, 31-10. Otherwise, their other four wins have come by 7, 6, 2 and 3 points. Buffalo hasn t covered as a double-digit favorite in any of the four times they were favored by this much this season. Look further back in the and they re 0-8 in that situation.
Mix in the weather we ve already touched on, plus the fact Josh Allen is known to turn the ball over, something he s done in 12/13 games, and it should be easy for Pittsburgh to stay within three scores.
Steelers vs Bills same game parlay picks: Steeler alternate spread +21.5